Metz U19 vs Auxerre U19 analysis


41	ELO	46
-3%	Tilt	5.3%
7725º	General ELO ranking	6346º
234º	Country ELO ranking	153º
ELO win probability

37.3%

Metz U19

25.5%

Draw

37.2%

Auxerre U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

37.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%

25.5%

Draw

0-0

6.4%

1-1

12.1%

2-2

5.7%

3-3

1.2%

4-4

0.1%

5-5

<0%

0

25.5%

37.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+8%

-38%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Metz U19

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
11 Dec. 2011	SED 2 - 0 MET 15% 20% 65%	43	24	19
04 Dec. 2011	MET 2 - 0 AMN 83% 12% 5%	43	16	27
27 Nov. 2011	DRA 3 - 3 MET 33% 25% 42%	43	36	7
19 Nov. 2011	MET 2 - 2 SOC 60% 22% 19%	43	37	6
12 Nov. 2011	QUE 1 - 2 MET 11% 18% 71%	43	17	26

Matches

Auxerre U19

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
10 Dec. 2011	AUX 6 - 1 VES 86% 10% 4%	46	18	28	0
27 Nov. 2011	SED 0 - 2 AUX 15% 21% 64%	46	25	21	0
20 Nov. 2011	AUX 7 - 1 DIJ 78% 14% 8%	46	28	18	0
13 Nov. 2011	AMN 1 - 3 AUX 12% 20% 68%	45	18	27	+1
06 Nov. 2011	AUX 1 - 2 DRA 70% 18% 12%	46	35	11	-1