Metz II vs Selongey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
AUX
2 - 2
MET
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
JAR
1 - 3
MET
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
MET
4 - 2
SAR
75%
15%
9%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SAI
1 - 3
MET
22%
26%
53%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
MET
3 - 0
FCT
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Selongey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
SEL
1 - 1
VAU
39%
26%
35%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
SEL
0 - 0
BEL
24%
25%
51%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
TRO
6 - 0
SEL
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SEL
0 - 1
SAI
41%
25%
35%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
BES
5 - 1
SEL
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |