Metz II vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
41.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 4
MET
36%
27%
38%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MET
4 - 1
SCH
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ASB
1 - 0
MET
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
SML
3 - 1
MET
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
MET
1 - 3
FLE
34%
27%
40%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SPI
0 - 0
SML
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FLE
0 - 1
SPI
52%
25%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SPI
4 - 0
LEN
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
OLY
2 - 3
SPI
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SPI
0 - 0
BOB
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |