Metz II vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
CAL
1 - 0
MET
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
MET
1 - 0
SOC
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
SCH
2 - 4
MET
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
MET
1 - 1
BRC
32%
28%
41%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
NAN
2 - 0
MET
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
SPI
2 - 2
SCH
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
NAN
0 - 0
SPI
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
SPI
1 - 0
CAL
26%
31%
44%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
RCE
0 - 4
SPI
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
SPI
1 - 0
LEN
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |