Metz II vs Sarreguemines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MET
0 - 1
NAN
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
TRO
1 - 1
MET
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MET
11 - 1
ILL
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
PON
2 - 2
MET
44%
26%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
MET
3 - 0
MOR
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Sarreguemines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 5
SAI
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 2
THA
65%
19%
17%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AMN
1 - 2
SAR
65%
18%
17%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SAR
4 - 3
COL
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
THA
3 - 0
SAR
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |