Metz II vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
PON
0 - 1
MET
26%
27%
47%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
MET
2 - 2
AUX
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
SEL
1 - 2
MET
20%
26%
54%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
MET
3 - 0
JAR
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
MET
1 - 0
BEL
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
FON
1 - 0
RED
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
RED
3 - 1
YZE
29%
27%
44%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
LEM
1 - 2
RED
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
RED
1 - 1
MON
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
LES
2 - 2
RED
59%
23%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |