Metz II vs Strasbourg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
10º
6º
37
4º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 49 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 46 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 46 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
50.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
42% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
49.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 29 |
12º
|
79% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 23 |
13º
|
54% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
54% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 2
MET
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MET
4 - 1
SAR
70%
17%
13%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SOC
2 - 0
MET
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BRC
2 - 1
MET
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MET
0 - 1
JUR
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Strasbourg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BEL
3 - 2
STR
47%
24%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
STR
1 - 0
RAO
37%
23%
41%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 1
STR
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
STR
1 - 2
OBE
60%
19%
21%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PON
3 - 1
STR
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |