Metz II vs Lusitanos de Saint-Maur analysis

Metz II Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
44 ELO 49
-8.2% Tilt -3.9%
5863º General ELO ranking 4494º
136º Country ELO ranking 95º
ELO win probability
37.9%
Metz II
27.3%
Draw
34.8%
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
Metz II
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.8%
Win probability
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Metz II
+15%
+20%
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur

Points and table prediction

Metz II
Their league position
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
15º
15º
34
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Épinal
57
60
91%
US Fleury-Merogis
55
56
91%
FC 93
52
55
100%
Furiani Agliani
45
48
75%
Creteil
43
46
46%
Besancon RC
40
43
0%
Colmar
43
43
38.5%
ES Wasquehal
38
42
28%
US Boulogne
39
40
76%
FCSR Haguenau
10º
37
37
10º
59%
Olympique St Quentin
12º
35
36
11º
52%
St Geneviève
11º
35
35
12º
73.5%
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
13º
34
34
13º
56%
Belfort
14º
31
32
14º
49.5%
Metz II
15º
31
32
15º
65%
Stade de Reims II
16º
22
22
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Metz II
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 6.5%
Relegation
100% 93.5%

ELO progression

Metz II
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Metz II
Metz II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2022
BOB
FC 93
2 - 0
Metz II
MET
68%
19%
13%
45 53 8 0
22 Oct. 2022
MET
Metz II
2 - 2
Belfort
BEL
49%
25%
25%
45 43 2 0
01 Oct. 2022
REI
Stade de Reims II
1 - 3
Metz II
MET
44%
25%
31%
44 42 2 +1
17 Sep. 2022
MET
Metz II
4 - 3
FCSR Haguenau
FCS
39%
26%
35%
43 44 1 +1
10 Sep. 2022
USB
US Boulogne
0 - 1
Metz II
MET
64%
22%
14%
42 51 9 +1

Matches

Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2022
SML
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
0 - 0
Stade de Reims II
REI
61%
22%
17%
48 40 8 0
22 Oct. 2022
FCS
FCSR Haguenau
1 - 1
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
SML
37%
27%
36%
48 43 5 0
01 Oct. 2022
LUS
Creteil
1 - 0
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
SML
54%
24%
22%
49 49 0 -1
17 Sep. 2022
SML
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
1 - 1
Besancon RC
BRC
77%
16%
7%
49 31 18 0
10 Sep. 2022
OLY
Olympique St Quentin
0 - 0
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
SML
28%
27%
45%
50 41 9 -1