Metz II vs Lusitanos de Saint-Maur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
15º
15º
34
4º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BOB
2 - 0
MET
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MET
2 - 2
BEL
49%
25%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
REI
1 - 3
MET
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MET
4 - 3
FCS
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
USB
0 - 1
MET
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SML
0 - 0
REI
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 1
SML
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LUS
1 - 0
SML
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SML
1 - 1
BRC
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 0
SML
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |