Metz II vs Lyon-Duchère analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
RAO
3 - 0
MET
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MET
0 - 3
BEL
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SAR
0 - 4
MET
31%
27%
43%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MET
3 - 2
AMN
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FCM
0 - 0
MET
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LYO
0 - 0
SOC
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 4
LYO
55%
23%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
LYO
3 - 1
JUR
53%
25%
23%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LYO
2 - 2
YZE
36%
28%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
RAO
0 - 2
LYO
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +2 |