Metz II vs Ivry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
AAC
2 - 3
MET
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
AMN
2 - 1
MET
61%
21%
19%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
MET
2 - 2
FCA
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 0
MET
66%
21%
13%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MET
2 - 3
CHA
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
IVR
3 - 1
AUB
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
IVR
1 - 0
AAC
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
DRA
0 - 0
IVR
40%
28%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
AMN
2 - 1
IVR
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
IVR
1 - 3
FCA
55%
23%
23%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |