Metz II vs Illzach Modenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
SAI
0 - 2
MET
30%
27%
43%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
MET
5 - 2
PON
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
RAO
1 - 3
MET
64%
22%
14%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
MET
1 - 6
BRC
19%
25%
56%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
VES
1 - 0
MET
57%
24%
19%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ILL
0 - 1
BEL
46%
25%
30%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
TRO
2 - 1
ILL
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
BES
2 - 4
ILL
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
ILL
2 - 1
THA
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
SAI
2 - 0
ILL
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |