Metz II vs Chambly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
POI
1 - 1
MET
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
MET
1 - 3
MAN
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
LEN
1 - 0
MET
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
MET
0 - 0
COM
53%
24%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 1
MET
33%
26%
40%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Chambly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 0
AAC
53%
25%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
IVR
1 - 1
CHA
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 0
AMN
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FCA
0 - 1
CHA
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
DUN
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |