Metz II vs Vauban Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 0
MET
44%
27%
30%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
MET
1 - 0
TRO
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SAI
0 - 1
MET
34%
28%
39%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MET
4 - 0
BES
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 3
MET
27%
27%
46%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Vauban Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
VAU
0 - 0
PON
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 2
VAU
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
VAU
1 - 2
AUX
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
TRO
0 - 0
VAU
59%
22%
18%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
VAU
0 - 2
SEL
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |