Metropolitanos vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-92%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
LOT
0 - 2
MET
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MET
3 - 1
ULA
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 1
MET
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SCG
2 - 0
MET
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MET
0 - 0
ZAM
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
URE
3 - 2
CAR
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
POL
1 - 0
URE
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
URE
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
URE
2 - 0
DEP
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
URE
3 - 0
LOT
46%
24%
31%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |