Metropolitanos vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
MET
1 - 2
MIN
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
MET
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MET
1 - 1
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
MET
1 - 1
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
REA
0 - 1
MET
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
POL
1 - 1
CAR
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
POL
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
POL
5 - 1
REA
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
POL
53%
22%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
POL
2 - 1
TUC
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |