Metropolitanos vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
URE
2 - 1
MET
30%
28%
43%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
MET
2 - 2
DEP
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
MET
2 - 1
LOT
74%
17%
10%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ULA
1 - 2
MET
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MET
2 - 1
SCG
75%
17%
9%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
POL
0 - 1
CAR
29%
26%
46%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
DEP
2 - 1
POL
31%
25%
45%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
URE
3 - 1
POL
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
POL
2 - 1
LOT
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ULA
2 - 2
POL
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |