Metropolitanos vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
49.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
MET
2 - 1
DRZ
61%
24%
16%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CFC
2 - 0
MET
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MET
2 - 0
TAC
38%
28%
33%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
APC
1 - 0
MET
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MET
1 - 2
ZAM
43%
27%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
NAC
42%
28%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 0
RIV
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 0
NAC
24%
26%
49%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 1
BOS
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CER
2 - 2
NAC
22%
27%
52%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |