Metropolitanos vs Rayo Zuliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
10º
6º
7
4º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
7 | 7 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
POR
3 - 1
MET
37%
29%
35%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
EST
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 2
MET
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
MET
51%
24%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
CAR
41%
29%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Zuliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
DRZ
0 - 1
BAR
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
DRZ
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
DRZ
2 - 3
ANG
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
DRZ
0 - 0
DEP
22%
21%
57%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
APC
3 - 1
DRZ
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |