Metropolitanos vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
54.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2017 |
ZAM
0 - 2
MET
70%
18%
13%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
MET
1 - 1
ATL
24%
25%
51%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
MET
0 - 5
CAR
14%
24%
62%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
MON
4 - 1
MET
77%
16%
8%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
MET
0 - 1
TAC
16%
25%
60%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
LAR
0 - 0
MIN
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
ZUL
0 - 0
LAR
25%
22%
53%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 1
LAR
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
LAR
1 - 3
CFC
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
LAR
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |