Metropolitanos vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
25.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
3º
11º
8º
26
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 9 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
AAF
3 - 1
MET
32%
28%
39%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
YAR
0 - 0
MET
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
CFC
1 - 0
MET
36%
26%
37%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
MET
2 - 1
APC
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
EST
3 - 2
MET
30%
23%
47%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 2
YAR
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
APC
1 - 3
CAR
47%
28%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
CAR
0 - 0
POR
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
EST
0 - 2
CAR
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SFE
0 - 1
CAR
55%
25%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |