Metropolitano vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
CRI
4 - 2
MET
65%
19%
16%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2007 |
MET
0 - 0
CHA
37%
24%
39%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
BRU
2 - 2
MET
52%
23%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
JUV
4 - 2
MET
49%
24%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
MET
2 - 1
FFL
15%
21%
65%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 1
JEC
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
AVA
1 - 0
MAR
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 4
GUA
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
CRI
3 - 0
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 0
BRU
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |