Metropolitano vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
MET
2 - 0
CRI
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
JEC
2 - 1
MET
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
FFL
2 - 1
MET
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MET
1 - 0
JEC
23%
25%
52%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
HER
1 - 3
MET
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
FFL
2 - 0
JEC
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
INT
1 - 1
FFL
16%
22%
62%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
FFL
2 - 1
MET
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 1
FFL
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
JEC
1 - 0
FFL
39%
26%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |