Metropolitano vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
65.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
IMB
1 - 0
MET
23%
23%
54%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
MET
1 - 0
CRI
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 0
MET
53%
22%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MET
2 - 0
JUV
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
MET
1 - 2
AVA
18%
21%
61%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2010 |
FFL
1 - 1
HER
73%
17%
11%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
JEC
2 - 1
FFL
24%
23%
53%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
BRU
2 - 1
FFL
14%
19%
67%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2010 |
FFL
3 - 1
IMB
88%
9%
3%
|
75 | 37 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 1
FFL
33%
27%
41%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |