Metropolitano vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
ITU
5 - 0
MET
67%
21%
12%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 2
MET
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
MET
2 - 0
GRE
45%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
MET
0 - 2
ITU
28%
28%
45%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
CAX
2 - 1
MET
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
CAX
1 - 2
GRE
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
URS
0 - 0
CAX
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
ITU
2 - 1
CAX
66%
22%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
PEL
1 - 2
CAX
42%
28%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
CAX
3 - 1
ITU
22%
28%
51%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +2 |