Metropolitano vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
21.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2008 |
MET
1 - 1
JMA
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
BRA
1 - 1
MET
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2008 |
MET
2 - 1
CHA
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
JEC
2 - 0
MET
39%
24%
38%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
MET
2 - 4
FFL
15%
20%
65%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2008 |
CAX
3 - 0
BRA
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
JMA
1 - 1
CAX
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
SCI
2 - 1
CAX
78%
17%
5%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
CAX
0 - 1
SCI
9%
19%
72%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
CAX
1 - 0
ECS
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |