Metropolitano vs Caxias Joinville FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
63.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
JEC
2 - 1
MET
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
MET
3 - 3
CRI
16%
21%
64%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
FFL
1 - 0
MET
81%
14%
6%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
HER
2 - 0
MET
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
MET
3 - 1
HER
26%
23%
51%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
CAX
1 - 5
BRU
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
DES
2 - 1
CAX
26%
26%
48%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -10 |
| 25 Oct. 1979 |
CAX
5 - 1
CHA
74%
15%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
SAO
2 - 1
CAX
18%
29%
54%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
COL
0 - 1
CAX
26%
26%
48%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |