Metropolitano vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
JEC
2 - 2
MET
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
MET
0 - 1
GUA
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 0
MET
30%
25%
46%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
BRU
2 - 2
MET
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
MET
1 - 2
JUV
53%
23%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
AVA
4 - 0
CHA
36%
25%
40%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
JEC
4 - 2
AVA
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2007 |
AVA
1 - 2
JUV
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
COT
4 - 2
AVA
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
AVA
1 - 2
CRB
43%
27%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |