Metropolitan Police vs Beaconsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 1
MET
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
WAL
2 - 2
MET
33%
24%
44%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MET
2 - 1
DOR
63%
21%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
HEN
1 - 3
MET
47%
23%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
MET
3 - 2
TIV
61%
20%
19%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
BEA
3 - 2
BAS
66%
18%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BEA
3 - 2
STA
85%
10%
5%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
SAL
2 - 1
BEA
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
HAR
2 - 1
BEA
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
LEY
4 - 0
BEA
68%
19%
12%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |