Metro vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2001 |
MET
1 - 1
CHR
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
MTW
4 - 1
MET
73%
16%
10%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
WAI
4 - 0
MET
63%
20%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
MET
3 - 1
DUN
34%
25%
40%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2000 |
MIR
2 - 0
MET
55%
23%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2001 |
WAI
2 - 1
DUN
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
DUN
2 - 3
MIR
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
TCU
1 - 2
DUN
45%
25%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
MET
3 - 1
DUN
34%
25%
40%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2000 |
DUN
1 - 1
FCN
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |