Metro vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2000 |
MIR
2 - 0
MET
55%
23%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2000 |
FCN
4 - 3
MET
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2000 |
MET
0 - 2
MTW
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2000 |
MET
1 - 9
WAI
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2000 |
MET
3 - 1
CEN
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2000 |
DUN
1 - 1
FCN
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2000 |
DUN
6 - 2
WAI
45%
25%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2000 |
MAN
0 - 1
DUN
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2000 |
DUN
2 - 0
CHR
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2000 |
MIR
0 - 3
DUN
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |