CD Metelinense vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
71.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Metelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
UCL
3 - 2
MET
85%
11%
4%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SPR
3 - 3
MET
75%
15%
10%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MET
0 - 2
OLY
12%
19%
69%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
MET
59%
21%
21%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MET
0 - 1
CDB
25%
23%
53%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
UDF
5 - 2
GIM
82%
12%
7%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
UCL
1 - 0
UDF
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
UDF
3 - 0
SPR
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
OLY
6 - 1
UDF
40%
23%
37%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
UDF
0 - 0
GUA
82%
12%
7%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |