Metalurh Zaporizhya II vs PFK Zvyagel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
3º
13º
12º
61
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 22% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 78% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalurh Zaporizhya II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
KAR
3 - 1
MET
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
RPH
2 - 0
MET
43%
24%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
MET
0 - 2
UCS
79%
13%
9%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
MET
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
FKK
1 - 2
MET
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
PFK Zvyagel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
FCZ
4 - 0
RPH
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
UCS
1 - 1
FCZ
14%
19%
67%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
FCZ
0 - 1
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 7
FCZ
15%
21%
65%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FCZ
4 - 0
FCL
85%
11%
4%
|
61 | 9 | 52 | +1 |