Metalurgistul Cugir vs Ocna Mureș analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
6º
3º
9
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalurgistul Cugir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
UAI
0 - 0
MET
31%
21%
48%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
MET
0 - 1
HUN
16%
20%
65%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
ACS
2 - 2
MET
32%
21%
47%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
CSO
4 - 3
MET
15%
17%
69%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
MET
2 - 1
UNI
46%
22%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ocna Mureș
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CSO
4 - 3
AVA
45%
21%
34%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
CSO
1 - 1
UNI
23%
23%
55%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CSO
4 - 0
VII
28%
21%
52%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
UAI
0 - 0
CSO
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
CSO
4 - 3
MET
15%
17%
69%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +3 |