Metalurg Skopje vs Napredok Kičevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
17.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalurg Skopje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
MET
0 - 0
SHK
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 0
MET
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
MET
1 - 0
BRE
58%
25%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SIL
1 - 1
MET
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
MET
6 - 0
OHR
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Napredok Kičevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
NAP
3 - 0
OHR
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
REN
4 - 0
NAP
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
TET
1 - 0
NAP
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
NAP
1 - 1
RAB
28%
29%
44%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
11O
2 - 2
NAP
45%
25%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |