Metallurg Oskol vs FK Orel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+101%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
4º
1º
51
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 16 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 14 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metallurg Oskol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
BGU
0 - 4
MET
5%
11%
84%
|
43 | 9 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
MET
10 - 0
AVA
92%
7%
2%
|
43 | 7 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ROT
0 - 2
MET
11%
16%
73%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MET
2 - 0
MET
92%
6%
2%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ATO
0 - 1
MET
67%
19%
15%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
ORE
5 - 0
ROT
44%
24%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
ORE
2 - 4
ATO
7%
13%
81%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
FKS
0 - 6
ORE
6%
12%
81%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
YEL
2 - 4
ORE
25%
21%
55%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ORE
2 - 0
FKK
81%
13%
7%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |