Metallurg Oskol vs BGUOR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1417%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
4º
1º
10
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 16 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 14 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
10 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metallurg Oskol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 1
MET
65%
19%
17%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
MET
0 - 0
LOK
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 5
MET
7%
13%
80%
|
46 | 7 | 39 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
MET
3 - 2
ROT
87%
9%
4%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MET
1 - 4
MET
7%
13%
80%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | +1 |
Matches
BGUOR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BGU
0 - 1
ROT
37%
22%
41%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MET
2 - 1
BGU
9%
14%
77%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BGU
1 - 0
ATO
6%
12%
82%
|
9 | 49 | 40 | +9 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FKS
2 - 2
BGU
45%
21%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BGU
2 - 3
YEL
18%
19%
63%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |