Metalac GM vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
55.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalac GM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
RNS
1 - 0
MET
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
RNB
1 - 1
MET
9%
19%
73%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
MET
0 - 3
ČUK
29%
26%
46%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
TSC
1 - 2
MET
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
MET
1 - 1
RAD
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 1
ANO
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 0
NPA
77%
15%
7%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
DUB
0 - 1
PAR
6%
16%
78%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
VOZ
0 - 3
PAR
19%
24%
57%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
FLO
1 - 0
PAR
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |