Mestre vs Arzignano Valchiampo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
38.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
MES
0 - 1
CAM
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CNO
1 - 1
MES
28%
22%
49%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MES
2 - 1
LIV
78%
13%
8%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 2
MES
44%
23%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
ABA
68%
17%
15%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arzignano Valchiampo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
UAR
3 - 0
MEZ
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
AVI
2 - 3
UAR
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
UAR
2 - 2
COR
27%
21%
52%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 3
UAR
13%
18%
69%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VIN
1 - 2
UAR
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |