Mestre vs Fontanafredda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MON
1 - 3
MES
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MES
1 - 2
TAM
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
LEV
2 - 3
MES
24%
22%
54%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CAM
2 - 2
MES
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MES
1 - 1
CNO
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fontanafredda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
FON
1 - 1
BEL
17%
20%
63%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FON
1 - 1
LEV
54%
22%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
FON
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CNO
1 - 1
FON
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FON
1 - 2
TAM
30%
23%
46%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |