Mestre vs Delta Porto Tolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
CHI
0 - 2
MES
14%
19%
67%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
MES
1 - 1
CAR
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAM
0 - 0
MES
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MES
0 - 0
VIG
81%
12%
7%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MON
0 - 2
MES
13%
20%
67%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Delta Porto Tolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
DEL
2 - 0
CLO
19%
22%
59%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
TRE
2 - 1
DEL
38%
24%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LEG
2 - 2
DEL
68%
19%
13%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
DEL
0 - 1
CHI
45%
23%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SDA
3 - 1
DEL
61%
21%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |