Messiniakos Kalamata vs Ethnikos Sageika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messiniakos Kalamata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
PAN
1 - 2
MES
18%
21%
61%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
MIS
1 - 0
MES
21%
22%
57%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
MES
1 - 1
ROD
35%
30%
36%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2008 |
AIS
3 - 2
MES
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2008 |
MES
5 - 0
AOK
43%
27%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Ethnikos Sageika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
SAG
0 - 1
KAR
11%
18%
71%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ERM
3 - 0
SAG
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |