Messiniakos Kalamata vs Ethnikos Asteras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messiniakos Kalamata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
PRO
1 - 1
MES
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
AGR
1 - 1
MES
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2006 |
MES
1 - 1
THR
45%
27%
28%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
PAN
0 - 2
MES
48%
25%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
MES
0 - 0
VER
41%
27%
32%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ethnikos Asteras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
ETH
1 - 0
AGR
20%
27%
53%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
THR
1 - 0
ETH
60%
23%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
ETH
2 - 0
PAN
51%
26%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
VER
2 - 1
ETH
65%
21%
14%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
ETH
1 - 1
KAL
44%
27%
29%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |