Messinense vs União Montemor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
37.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FAR
3 - 2
MES
83%
14%
4%
|
30 | 72 | 42 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MES
1 - 1
FAB
14%
21%
65%
|
29 | 68 | 39 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MES
2 - 0
RED
75%
16%
10%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LAG
0 - 1
MES
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MES
3 - 1
ALJ
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
União Montemor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
RED
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LAG
0 - 0
UNI
24%
24%
52%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 2
ALJ
65%
20%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SES
2 - 2
UNI
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
DES
84%
11%
4%
|
37 | 10 | 27 | -1 |