Messinense vs Sesimbra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
DES
0 - 2
MES
13%
20%
68%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MES
0 - 1
LAG
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sesimbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SES
2 - 1
RED
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
LAG
0 - 1
SES
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
SCP
5 - 0
SES
96%
3%
1%
|
25 | 88 | 63 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1971 |
TIR
3 - 1
SES
87%
10%
4%
|
26 | 61 | 35 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1971 |
SES
0 - 1
TIR
20%
25%
55%
|
26 | 61 | 35 | 0 |