Messinense vs Redondense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LAG
0 - 1
MES
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MES
3 - 1
ALJ
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SES
1 - 0
MES
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MES
0 - 0
DES
85%
11%
4%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LAG
3 - 1
MES
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Redondense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RED
0 - 2
FAB
12%
20%
68%
|
19 | 69 | 50 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
RED
1 - 2
LAG
29%
24%
47%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ALJ
1 - 0
RED
69%
18%
13%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
RED
0 - 1
SES
32%
25%
44%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
DES
0 - 2
RED
14%
20%
66%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |