Messinense vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
68.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
16%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FAB
1 - 0
MES
84%
13%
4%
|
29 | 70 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
RED
0 - 1
MES
20%
22%
58%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MES
2 - 1
LAG
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ALJ
0 - 1
MES
38%
24%
37%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MES
1 - 1
SES
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FAR
2 - 2
RED
84%
13%
4%
|
71 | 17 | 54 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LAG
0 - 0
FAR
9%
21%
71%
|
71 | 22 | 49 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FAR
1 - 0
ALJ
83%
13%
4%
|
71 | 23 | 48 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SES
2 - 2
FAR
10%
21%
69%
|
71 | 25 | 46 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FAR
3 - 0
DES
84%
13%
3%
|
71 | 11 | 60 | 0 |