Messinense vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
65%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MES
2 - 0
RED
75%
16%
10%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LAG
0 - 1
MES
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MES
3 - 1
ALJ
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SES
1 - 0
MES
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MES
0 - 0
DES
85%
11%
4%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
FAB
0 - 1
LAG
82%
14%
4%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RED
0 - 2
FAB
12%
20%
68%
|
69 | 19 | 50 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FAB
1 - 3
QUA
82%
14%
4%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LAG
0 - 2
FAB
12%
20%
68%
|
69 | 25 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
FAB
3 - 0
PES
83%
13%
4%
|
69 | 31 | 38 | 0 |