Messinense vs Despertar SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LAG
3 - 1
MES
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
QUA
2 - 1
MES
65%
19%
15%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MES
3 - 2
PES
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
MES
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
MES
1 - 4
FAR
10%
22%
68%
|
29 | 71 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Despertar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
DES
0 - 2
RED
14%
20%
66%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
DES
1 - 2
LAG
12%
19%
69%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ALJ
2 - 0
DES
82%
13%
6%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
DES
1 - 1
SES
11%
19%
70%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
DES
1 - 4
FAB
12%
21%
67%
|
10 | 70 | 60 | -1 |