ACR Messina vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
REG
2 - 0
MES
30%
28%
43%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MES
3 - 1
SIR
36%
26%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 0
MES
72%
19%
9%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SIE
0 - 3
MES
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
FRO
3 - 0
MES
81%
15%
5%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 0
FCC
40%
26%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FRA
5 - 1
MON
28%
27%
45%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +3 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
FCC
1 - 0
FRA
53%
27%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
LAT
3 - 0
FRA
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 3
FRA
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |