ACR Messina vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
12.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
ROM
4 - 3
MES
79%
15%
7%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
MES
2 - 2
FIO
28%
29%
43%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
PAR
4 - 1
MES
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
MES
0 - 1
INT
14%
23%
63%
|
74 | 93 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
MES
0 - 0
ATL
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
CRO
0 - 1
VIC
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
VIC
1 - 2
PIA
41%
27%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
BRE
3 - 0
VIC
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
VIC
1 - 3
LEC
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
ABN
0 - 0
VIC
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |